Analysis 2700 points at the bottom to confirm the monkey red envelopes market opened 曾浩飞天

Analysis: 2700 points at the bottom of the year of the monkey red market opening confirmed sina finance Level2:A shares of sina finance: App speed Kanpan live on-line blogger to tutor the monkey red market opened "red week" special author Wang Wei of the rebound can at least to 3000 points, to 3200 points above the rate of not less than 50%. The author believes that the market performance between 2600~2850 points is triggered by the first wave of slump rebound, which is the normal regression process of the market. With January 27th to February 4th and after the opening to February 17th two wave rise, profit taking demand, the market will enter the 2900~3000 consolidation pressure range, short-term volatility will occur. The 3000 break point needs more buying, the market hot switching faster, and even more must start mid cap stocks. In the short term, what we can do is to observe the market daily volume and the number of stocks from the bottom, if such a large number of stocks, on behalf of the market is still full of bull power, the market sentiment is excellent. Break through 3000 points may need 1~3 weeks, is the use of the disk hot spot ups and downs, switching to wear 3000 points, during the ups and downs very grinding people, is a difficult process. Once you break through 3000, there will be more and more funds to understand that the rebound is not just a rebound in a few days, but an intermediate market arrival, is a very valuable trading opportunity. 2700 point at the bottom of confirmation at the end in 1, the author has found the 2700 points is at the bottom, and resolutely all positions involved, then confirm the reason to determine the bottom of the following main points: first in the early fall stage, the emergence of a large number of corporate shares of listed companies transfer price is higher than, equal to or close to the two secondary market trading price of the market in. On behalf of the case, Guangxi investment group to 5.44 yuan shares of the transferee group of the original group of 713 million major shareholders of shares, the total transferee of 3 billion 879 million yuan, equity transfer price is basically equal to the price of the two market. This shows that the shell resources of listed companies are still very valuable, and the unlisted enterprises are willing to use the direct purchase of shares of listed companies to become major shareholders. For the shell resources of listed companies, if the primary market can agree with the two level market price, then is it possible to explain the two tier market from the one hand, and nothing to worry about? The second is in late January, the market appeared in a number of large institutions entering the capital shopping spree phenomenon, not only large transactions, and the two stage on the market too, such as the purple group in January 27th through the trading system to buy in technology shares 8 million 50 thousand shares, representing 5.08% of total share capital, the purchase amount is about 130 million yuan. The rough statistics, similar to such huge shopping spree case Ziguang group has ten, including more than two institutions to market 10% premium to buy the controlling shareholders of listed companies equity. Furthermore, in the early fall, the market performance of the disk observation found that some high Kongpan shell resource stocks have been refused to fall, even during the period of January 27th to February 2nd also rebounded more than 20%, especially since the beginning of January 14th

分析:2700点底部确认 猴年红包行情开启 新浪财经Level2:A股极速看盘 新浪财经App:直播上线 博主一对一指导   猴年红包行情开启   《红周刊》特约作者王炜   本次反弹最少能到3000点,到3200点以上概率不低于50%。笔者认为,2600~2850点间行情表现是市场第一波暴跌反弹所引发,这是市场正常的回归过程。随着1月27日至2月4日和年后开盘至2月17日两波上涨,获利盘有回吐需求,市场将进入2900~3000盘整压力区间,短期将出现震荡行情。   突破3000点需要更多的买盘,市场热点切换要快,一定要启动更多中盘股乃至大盘股。短期内,我们能做的就是观察市场每天放量和脱离底部个股数量,如果这类个股数量多,代表市场多头力量依然充分,市场人气极好。   突破3000点可能需要1~3周的时间,是利用不停地出现盘面热点涨跌互相切换来磨破3000点,期间涨跌非常磨人,是个艰难的过程。一旦突破3000点,会有越来越多的资金明白此次反弹不只是几天的反弹,而是一次中级行情的到来,是一次非常有价值的交易机会。   2700点底部确认   在1月末,笔者曾判定2700点是底部,并坚决全仓介入,当时判断底部确认的理由主要有以下几点:   首先是在年初暴跌阶段,市场中出现了大量上市公司法人股转让的价格高于、等于或接近于二级市场的交易价格。代表案例有广西投资集团以5.44元 股受让中恒集团原大股东7.13亿股股份,受让合计38.79亿元,股权转让价格基本等同于当时二级市场的价格。这说明上市公司壳资源还是很有价值的,未上市企业愿意采用直接购买上市公司股份方式成为大股东。对于上市公司壳资源,如果说一级市场都能够认同二级市场价格,那么是不是从一方面能说明二级市场并没什么值得担忧的呢?   其次是在1月下旬,市场中出现了多家大机构资金进场扫货现象,不仅表现大宗交易上,且二级市场上也同样如此,如紫光集团1月27日通过交易系统买入中发科技股份805万股,占公司总股本的5.08%,买入金额约为1.3亿元。笔者粗略统计一下,类似紫光集团这样巨资扫货的案例就有十几个,其中甚至有机构以超过二级市场10%溢价购买上市公司控股股东股权的。   再者,在前期下跌中,笔者观察市场盘面表现时发现,有部分高控盘的壳资源股已经拒绝下跌,甚至在1月27日至2月2日期间还反弹了20%以上,特别是1月14日以来,有大量个股未创新低,这些拒绝下跌的股票在1月27日市场表现企稳之后出现了快速反弹。诸多现象反映出市场多头力量正在增强。   布局反弹股   笔者于2月3日进场抄底的,在当时面临第一步就是选股问题。作为常年在二级市场投机的职业投机者,在本次市场暴跌后首先选择的是前期暴跌股。抄底选股原则是:1,今年以来暴跌50%以上;2,总股本小于5个亿,容易被操纵;3,本身就有题材,如大股东已经转让但未进行资产重组、纯壳或有其它题材。   事实上,从盘面表现来看,2月18日前市场主要启动的就是暴跌股和小盘股,原因很简单:暴跌后的股票没人愿意卖和小盘股本身就没有多少卖盘,两者低位都没法大幅建仓,一点点资金进场就能推动它们大涨。随着大盘指数均线系统逐步修复,市场的恐慌情绪也大幅降低,部分后知后觉的资金开始在2月17日逐步进场加仓中盘个股。一般来说,中盘个股的加仓过程需要10个交易日以上,而从小盘股和暴跌股反弹转换到市场中大盘股的加仓是需要一定的时间的,因此,笔者认为下周市场基本上就处在这种转换过程中。   随着市场反弹深入,笔者认为大盘2850点以上将面临大量获利盘的回吐,短期市场可能会以震荡为主。当然,震荡也是外场资金跑步进场入驻中盘股的过程,如部分上海本地股在2月17日开始就有资金抢筹的典型痕迹,各种资金动作迹象表明市场正在进行热点切换。对于机构而言,笔者认为现在就是和时间、市场赛跑抢钱,谁先反应谁就有可能率先抢到最便宜的筹码。   盘整过程中会出现很多大突破的个股,周K线形成完美圆弧底,这就是牛股雏形。笔者认为,在2月3日时就已经进场抄底暴跌股的投资者,获利15%以上时如发现所持个股放量就卖出,然后再寻找底部K线图从日K线到周K线都能形成漂亮圆弧底的,正好处在突破1月14日~1月25日2800~3000点区域临界点的,可直接买进去等待大涨。   总之,大盘上涨的最后一棒会由大蓝筹来完成的,比如银行、证券和保险,通过它们的上涨会把指数推高至3000点以上或更高的位置,随着外场做多资金的陆续进场,市场多方力量逐渐耗竭,从而结束整个中级行情。笔者认为,整个过程应该会持续到3月底。■   (微信公众号:classstock) 新浪声明:此消息系转载自新浪合作媒体,新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。 进入【新浪财经股吧】讨论相关的主题文章: