Global Times TPP can not become the chips to crush China’s economy 麦圈官方免费下载

Global Times: TPP can not become the chips to crush China’s economy, the TPP signed the signing ceremony at 4 in Oakland, the largest city of New Zealand, and then it will wait for the 12 Congress to come into effect. The completion of the procedure seems to be just a matter of time. U.S. President Obama said on the 4, TPP will make the United States has more advantages in competition with china. He said, "TPP makes the United States, not countries like China, to write the trade rules of the twenty-first Century, which is particularly important for the Asia Pacific region." Obama is not the first public to talk about TPP and China, so he can not say his statement is a little stingy, lack of a great deal of great power leader’s demeanor. TPP 12 countries accounted for 40% of the world’s economic growth, ranking first in the world, but the total trade volume of member countries accounted for only 25% of the world. Its "high standard" is said to be much more demanding for the state owned enterprises, environmental protection standards, labor policies and intellectual property rights protection of member states. It is also very prominent, that is, the United States as the center, the interests of American multinational companies to become the primary reference for the negotiations of the rules. The Obama administration had also "cross the the Atlantic trade and investment partnership agreement (TTIP) negotiations, TPP and TTIP reconstruction in the United States as the center of the" high standards of trade system ", but the term of less than a year Obama apparently not drive after the completion of negotiations. Indeed, the United States has taken a step forward in rule making, scoring in what it calls the "rule of competition" in china. However, TPP is just the dotted line depicted in the twenty-first Century Asia Pacific economic outlook, according to the American desire, what the real twenty-first Century is, and what the actual rules are, and it is determined by the real shaping power. The real shaping force includes the vitality of China’s emerging economies, as well as the diverse interests of countries, including TPP members. The two factors, TPP, are obviously inadequate. When people have different views on whether TPP is designed to repel China, Obama repeatedly stressed that "the rule of twenty-first Century should be formulated by the United States, not China", which reinforces its interpretation of this meaning. The impression is that Washington is straightforward, and does not seem to mind the strategic game of trade between China and the United States over normal competition. From that point of view, it is far from enough to protect America’s "dominant" world economy in twenty-first Century through TPP. First of all, because of the respective interests of TPP members, TPP cannot restrict their trade with China. They can not choose between China and the United states. Two, the relative decline of the United States is a major trend. It limits the ability of more and more countries to move closer to the TPP rules. Therefore, it is difficult for TPP to become a new starting point for the world to move towards the future. Unless the United States’ economic strength and comprehensive strength continue to grow strongly, there will be an unparalleled strategic pull, to flatten the old world like bulldozers, and to provide everything and build a new world. China is probably not fighting against the United States in terms of rules and regulations, and China’s pros and cons

环球时报:TPP成不了美压垮中国经济的筹码   跨太平洋伙伴关系协定(TPP)4日在新西兰的最大城市奥克兰举行签字仪式,接下来它将等待12国议会通过后正式生效。完成后一个手续看来只是时间问题。   美国总统奥巴马4日表示,TPP将使得美国在与中国竞争中更具优势。他说“TPP让美国而不是像中国这样的国家来书写21世纪的贸易规则,这对于亚太地区而言尤其重要。”   奥巴马已经不是第一次公开这样谈TPP和中国了,不能不说他的表态有点小气,缺了几分大国领导人的应有风度。   TPP 12国的经济总量占全球40%,高居世界第一,但成员国的贸易总量只占全球的25%。它的“高标准”被说得很多,对成员国的国有企业、环保标准、劳工政策以及知识产权保护等都提出了较高要求。它还有一点很突出,那就是以美国为中心,美国跨国公司的利益成为各项规则谈判的首要参考坐标。   奥巴马政府原本还有“跨大西洋贸易与投资伙伴协议”(TTIP)的谈判计划,TPP与TTIP共同重建以美国为中心的“高标准贸易体系”,但任期所剩不到一年的奥巴马显然来不及推动完成后一谈判了。   美国的确在规则制定上又领先了一步,在它自己所称的对华“规则竞争”中得分。然而TPP只是21世纪亚太经济面貌根据美国愿望描绘出的虚线,真正的21世纪什么样,以及实际规则是什么,要由真实的塑造力说了算。   真实的塑造力包括中国这样新兴经济体的贸易活力,还有各国、包括TPP成员国的多元利益诉求。这两个要素TPP反映得都明显不足。   在人们对TPP是否为排斥中国而设计存在不同看法时,奥巴马反复强调“要由美国而非中国制定21世纪规则”,强化了它的确是这个意思的解读。给人的印象是,华盛顿倒是挺直率的,它似乎不在意挑起中美之间超过正常竞争的战略性贸易大博弈。   如果真从那样的角度看,通过TPP保障美国“主导”21世纪世界经济的大盘是远远不够的。首先是由于TPP成员国有各自的利益,TPP限制不了它们同中国的贸易,它们不可能在中美之间选边站。二是美国的实力相对下降恐为大趋势,它规约越来越多的国家向TPP规则靠拢的能力受到限制,TPP因此很难成为全球走向未来的新原点。   除非美国的经济实力和综合力量继续强劲增长,产生无可比拟的战略拉力,得以像推土机一样碾平旧世界,再由它提供一切,建设全新的世界。   中国在立规则方面大概一时斗不过美国,中国的优劣势取决于能否做到传统意义上的“把经济工作搞好”。只要中国的经济增长和扩张持续下去,新产生的经济量和贸易机会在世界范围内是最突出的,TPP就一定会以某种方式向中国的需求和影响屈服。   美国搭建的平台看似严整漂亮,像个百货大楼。但这不能保证它的里面人气旺盛,物流活跃。经济的规律是,谁发展快,谁创造共同利益的能力强,人气就在谁的一边。因此要谈中美经济竞争,TPP不必然是一招制胜的法宝。   中国全面与美开展制定规则的竞争还很困难,继续自我壮大似乎更紧迫。只要中国经济的炉火旺盛,热量的外溢就挡不住,我们利用各种规则为我所用的能力就极强。   越南加入了TPP,但中国已经连续12年是它的第一大贸易伙伴。在中国经济保持正常发展势头的情况下,可以想象会有TPP成员国取代中国的越南第一大贸易伙伴地位吗?所以中国继续做好自己的事情,脚踏实地地不断密切和其他国家的经济关系,或许比殚思竭虑琢磨如何对付TPP更加重要。 进入【新浪财经股吧】讨论相关的主题文章: