Figure two to see how the U.S. election cycle affect gold onavo protect

The two chart to see: how the U.S. presidential election cycle affect the exposure of the gold Sina fund platform: letter Phi lag behind false propaganda, the performance of long-term lower than similar products, how to buy funds pit? Click [I want to complain], Sina help you expose them! In November this year, once every four years the U.S. presidential election will decide the final result. Currently due to Hilary’s health problems, the election balance has tilted to the Trump. Then the United States before and after the election, the impact of gold and other global assets? In this paper, the author Arkadiusz Sieron by comparing the past U.S. presidential election cycle of asset changes, to provide a reference for the reader transaction. Sieron divides the US election cycle into the first year after the 1 election; the next year after the election of 2; the year before the election of the year of 3; the election year of the year of the year (4) in the year of second. The statistical data show 1973-2106 during the first year after the election, gold in the worst performance, an average increase of 2.27%; the best performance in second years, the average increase of 12.82%; a year before the election or for an average of 11.21%, while the election year is 8.99%. However, readers need to pay attention to the impact of the above is relatively large selection period, such as in the 1973-1976 election cycle, the price of gold in the first year after the strongest performance of the Nixon election. 2017 will be the first year after the election, despite the current global economic weakness, many countries implement support for gold negative interest rate policy, but according to the above election cycle on the gold price, this year the price performance is bad, the U.S. presidential election cycle to the gold price impact can not be ignored. Here is a look at the impact of the U.S. election cycle on stocks, silver, and gold related stock index and other assets. The following figure shows the S & P index (1948-2015 green column), gold (1972-2015 Huang Zhu), silver (1972-2015 blue column), Philadelphia gold index XUA (1984-2015 purple column) and "bug HUI index (1997-2015 red column) in the U.S. presidential election cycle performance. Overall, gold in the middle of the strongest performance in the general election, the weakest year after the election performance; silver in the election year before the best performance, the worst performance in the election year. For the stock market, it is better in the second half of the election cycle, while gold stocks in the first half of the election cycle was good, the worst performance in the election year. Classification point of view, XAU in the year after the election performed better, HUI was the strongest in the second years after the election. It should be noted that the XAU index is stronger than the HUI index, because the XAU index contains silver and gold mining stocks, while the HUI index contains only gold mining stocks. It is worth noting that the above analysis is only a factor in the election cycle, in the actual transaction, also need to consider the technical and fundamental factors. Enter the Sina financial stocks] discussion相关的主题文章: